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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.77vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.12+2.15vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+6.96vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.64+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+0.05vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31+0.55vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.37+2.29vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17-3.80vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+0.74vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.10+0.34vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.94-3.34vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-3.34vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93+1.72vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.60-1.90vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.23-5.10vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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5.15Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.96The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.39Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.55North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.29Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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10.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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11.34Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.66Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.66Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.1University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.9Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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14.64Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 29.3% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.1% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 18.5% | 57.9% |
| May Proctor | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 8.7% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 29.0% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.