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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+3.45vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.12+1.00vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20+5.74vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.26+4.82vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.64-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86-2.31vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.10+2.30vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-0.57vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.93+3.69vs Predicted
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13Auburn University0.23-2.16vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.94-5.37vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.37-4.67vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.60-2.80vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81College of Charleston3.100.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.45Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.0Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.74The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.260.0%1st Place
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6.34Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.3Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.43Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.43North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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15.69University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.84Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.63Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.33Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.2University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.65Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 29.4% | 23.2% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Simpson | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 57.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 7.5% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.