← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.91+3.78vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.51+3.87vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.62+2.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami2.27+0.02vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.65+0.38vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.42+3.32vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College1.24-0.29vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.79-0.05vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel-0.68+3.58vs Predicted
-
10Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+3.04vs Predicted
-
11Wake Forest University0.24-1.23vs Predicted
-
12Auburn University0.03-1.61vs Predicted
-
13Duke University-0.71-0.52vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.91vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.26vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-1.20-2.18vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston2.35-13.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.78North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
5.63Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.02University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
5.38Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.32Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.71Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
-
7.95Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
12.58The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
-
13.04Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.77Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
-
10.39Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.48Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
15.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
13.82University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
-
3.89College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.1% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Milo Miller | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 50.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 16.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 17.4% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.