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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+3.75vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+3.55vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.270.00vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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6Auburn University0.03+4.57vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79+1.06vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42+1.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.51-2.96vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University0.24-0.31vs Predicted
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11Rollins College1.24-4.17vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+1.12vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.68-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.27vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.71-3.49vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-1.20-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.55Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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3.77College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.39Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.57Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.06Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.07Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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6.04University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.69Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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6.83Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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13.12Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.44The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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12.51Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.83University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 18.3% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Milo Miller | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 10.9% |
| Henry Parker | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 49.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.