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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+3.78vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+3.60vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.91+0.79vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.42+3.99vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86-1.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.62-2.57vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University0.24+0.84vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.68+2.41vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79-2.95vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.03-1.68vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.14vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20-0.17vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.71-2.59vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.64vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-0.52-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.6Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.79North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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8.99Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.51Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.43Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.84Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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12.41The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.05Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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10.32Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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13.14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.83University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.41Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.2% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Parker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 50.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.