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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+3.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+3.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.64vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+0.67vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.91-1.17vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.42+2.11vs Predicted
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8Auburn University0.03+2.13vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-0.92vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.85+2.78vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University0.24-1.22vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+1.03vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-1.20+0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.52-1.96vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.71-2.62vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.63vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-11.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.45Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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3.64College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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6.68Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.67University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.83North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.11Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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10.13Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.08Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.78The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.78Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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13.03Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.68University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.38Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.58Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.6% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ryan | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.3% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 11.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 18.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 48.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.