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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.57vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.24+4.54vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.91+1.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+1.54vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.86-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.51-1.22vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University0.24+1.51vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+4.19vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.85+2.81vs Predicted
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11Auburn University0.03-0.64vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.71+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.52-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+0.28vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-6.81vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-11.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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6.54Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.72North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.54Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.81Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.51Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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13.19Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.81The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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10.36Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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12.45Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.76University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.19Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.59Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.5% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 11.1% |
| Luke Pennisi | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 49.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.