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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+0.91vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.67vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.46+0.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+0.66vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.72-0.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-1.34vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.55-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Fordham University1.5445.6%1st Place
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2.67Hampton University1.4723.6%1st Place
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3.38Princeton University0.4612.3%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.0%1st Place
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4.84Rutgers University-0.725.4%1st Place
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4.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.7%1st Place
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5.88Syracuse University-1.552.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 45.6% | 30.6% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.6% | 26.7% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 12.3% | 18.1% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 14.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 26.4% | 17.8% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 14.7% |
| Faith Otoole | 2.3% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 20.6% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.