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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+4.05vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.91+1.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35-0.11vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+0.52vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.17vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.24+3.01vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.24-1.22vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-0.62vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.34-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52+1.32vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.03-1.38vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.34vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+1.49vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-1.20-1.10vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.71-3.22vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.05University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.89College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.52Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.83Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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10.01Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.38Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.69The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.62Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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13.34Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.9University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.78Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.48Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Milo Miller | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 5.3% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 52.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 19.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 7.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.