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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.97vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.42+6.42vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+1.79vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51+0.17vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-0.08vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.91-3.12vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.34+0.80vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79-1.78vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+2.38vs Predicted
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12Auburn University0.03-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.52-0.75vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University0.24-3.93vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.71-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.20-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.42Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.79Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.51Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.92Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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9.8The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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8.22Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.38Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.59Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.07Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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12.66Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.04University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.0% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 11.4% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Ruth Palmer | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 7.7% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 23.7% | 17.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.