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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.89vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.91+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+1.95vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+1.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.24+2.81vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.20+5.06vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.71+2.63vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.29-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.52+0.13vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.31vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.42-4.61vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.34-5.48vs Predicted
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16Auburn University0.03-5.47vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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4.85North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.95University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.64Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.81Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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5.56Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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14.06University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.63Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.76Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.31Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.39Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.52The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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10.53Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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15.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.5% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.1% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Cole Schweda | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 7.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 12.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Henry Ryan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.