← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.35+2.71vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University0.42+7.17vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.51+2.98vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.91+0.92vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.27-1.12vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.62-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College1.24-0.25vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.62-2.44vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University0.29+0.84vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.34-0.43vs Predicted
-
11Auburn University0.03-0.41vs Predicted
-
12Wake Forest University0.24-2.24vs Predicted
-
13Duke University-0.71-0.29vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-0.65vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-0.52-2.95vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-1.20-2.05vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.71College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
-
9.17Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.98University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.92North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
5.71Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
6.75Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.56Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
-
9.84Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.57The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
-
10.59Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.76Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
-
12.71Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
13.35Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
12.05University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
13.95University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
-
15.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 19.8% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.7% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 9.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 12.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 23.3% | 16.7% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.