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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.71vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.91+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+2.06vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62+0.48vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-0.21vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.29+1.58vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.42+0.43vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.34-0.46vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+2.27vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.24-2.13vs Predicted
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13Auburn University0.03-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20-0.05vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.71-2.43vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.79North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.06University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.48Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.75Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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6.79Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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9.58Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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9.43Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.54The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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13.27Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.87Wake Forest University0.240.0%1st Place
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10.58Auburn University0.030.0%1st Place
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13.95University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.57Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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15.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 16.9% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 11.9% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 18.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 7.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.