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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.40+7.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+7.28vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+3.40vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+5.51vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+6.02vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64+2.03vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.84vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.27+1.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.52vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-1.32vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.79vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.03-1.78vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.48-4.40vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-5.88vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.23-0.66vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.84vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.32-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.4Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.51Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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11.02Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.03Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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5.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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9.11Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.68George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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14.34SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Benesch | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| James Kopack | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 50.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.