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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+7.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.27+7.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.59+4.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+4.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40+2.91vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.25+2.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00-1.71vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.64-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.32-1.08vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.86vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.23-2.59vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.03-2.59vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-2.69vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-9.75vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.84vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.29Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.99Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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9.41Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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14.44SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| James Kopack | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Jake Weinstein | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 9.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.