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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+0.92vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.64vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-0.72+1.85vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.55+0.88vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Fordham University1.5446.0%1st Place
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2.64Hampton University1.4723.2%1st Place
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4.85Rutgers University-0.725.0%1st Place
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3.3Princeton University0.4614.9%1st Place
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5.88Syracuse University-1.552.1%1st Place
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4.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.6%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 46.0% | 28.0% | 17.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 23.2% | 28.3% | 22.9% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.7% | 24.1% | 17.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 14.9% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Faith Otoole | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 52.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 22.3% | 24.4% | 13.1% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.