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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.64+6.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.31vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.26vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+5.62vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.27+4.17vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.85+5.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32+2.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.48-0.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.00-3.65vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79+0.42vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.97vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.09vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-5.86vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-5.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.40-7.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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9.62Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.19Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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6.35Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.400.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jake Weinstein | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Maya Conway | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% |
| James Kopack | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 28.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.