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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.64+6.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00+4.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.39+5.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.48+3.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32+2.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.25+1.21vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.23+0.75vs Predicted
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10Cornell University0.85+0.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.40-2.00vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-0.73vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.82vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-5.84vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.27-5.67vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.37-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.9George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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9.75Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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11.27Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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9.33Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Maya Conway | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| James Kopack | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.