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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+9.51vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.64+5.33vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.23+3.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.40+2.61vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.23+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32+0.49vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.48-2.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.25-1.87vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.77-5.94vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.27-4.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.23vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.03-6.08vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.51Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.33Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.04Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.06Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.01Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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13.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.14SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Hurd | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| James Kopack | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 19.0% | 34.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 18.7% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.