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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.78vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+6.46vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+5.98vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64+3.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.32+2.82vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.77-0.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+0.21vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.27+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.48-2.05vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.23-1.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.40-3.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.03-3.00vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-3.07vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.25-6.09vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.23-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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7.49Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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9.08Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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9.24Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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10.0Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.93Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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13.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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14.08SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Kopack | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| William Hurd | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jake Weinstein | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 18.7% | 34.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.