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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.23+7.28vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.27+6.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.04vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.77+2.59vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.64+1.95vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+1.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.40+0.88vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.51vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23-2.56vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.79-1.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.04vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.64-3.51vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.03-5.76vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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6.59Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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11.46SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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10.03Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| James Kopack | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Gavin Hudson | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Brayden Benesch | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 19.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 38.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.