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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+8.87vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.94vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.63vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.23+4.66vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03+4.25vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.23+2.44vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.27+1.39vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-1.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.40-1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+3.08vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39-3.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.77-6.59vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.37-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.64-4.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.25-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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8.66Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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9.25Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College1.230.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| James Kopack | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| William Hurd | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Brayden Benesch | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 39.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Gavin Hudson | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.