← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.27+7.82vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College1.59+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.40+5.46vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.07vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.54vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.25+3.31vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.23+7.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.32+0.63vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.85+0.56vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.00-4.63vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.64-4.39vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California0.32-0.26vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.23-4.66vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University1.03-5.06vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-6.12vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.39-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.82Fordham University1.270.1%1st Place
-
7.69Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.46Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
-
5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
-
8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.31Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
14.14SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
-
7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
10.56Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.37Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
-
7.61Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
12.74University of Southern California0.320.0%1st Place
-
9.34Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.94Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
-
9.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.62George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shachoy | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Kopack | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 43.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Berry | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 21.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.