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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+6.05vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+3.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+4.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.63+6.39vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47+1.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62-0.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.89+1.25vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.92+0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-1.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-2.22vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-5.99vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.27-1.55vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.08-7.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.06-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.42Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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10.39Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.56Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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13.45Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.69Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Marcus Greco | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Harris | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| George Warfel | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 32.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Luke Barker | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.