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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.69vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54-0.07vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+1.60vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.46-1.71vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Hampton University1.4722.7%1st Place
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1.93Fordham University1.5444.9%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.676.2%1st Place
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4.88Rutgers University-0.724.7%1st Place
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3.29Princeton University0.4615.7%1st Place
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5.91Syracuse University-1.551.6%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.614.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 22.7% | 26.7% | 24.4% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 44.9% | 29.5% | 16.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 13.5% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 18.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 15.7% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Faith Otoole | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 51.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 24.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.