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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+5.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+4.09vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+4.70vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.90+0.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+5.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+0.26vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.89+1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-0.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-0.88vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.62-4.31vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.44-0.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.89-3.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-4.58vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.06-2.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-5.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University0.63-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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8.7Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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9.28George Washington University0.890.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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6.69Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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11.19Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.55Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Luke Harris | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Luke Barker | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 29.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% |
| Marcus Greco | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.