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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21+7.06vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.92+7.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+6.35vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.47+3.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.89+4.38vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.27+0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.89+1.28vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.27+4.78vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-2.75vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.06+2.00vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.63-1.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.75vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-5.96vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-7.71vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.90-10.35vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-10.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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9.31Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.91Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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13.78Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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13.0SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.43Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.65Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.72Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Luke Harris | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| George Warfel | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 34.0% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 26.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.