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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.89+8.41vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+6.06vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+4.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+3.50vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.92+4.30vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.44+5.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+4.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.06+4.84vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62-2.12vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08-1.25vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-5.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.46vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.63-2.17vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.89-4.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-6.68vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-7.88vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.47-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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11.57Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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12.84SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.88Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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8.75Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.86Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.83Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.1%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Wilkinson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.6% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% |
| Luke Barker | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 29.6% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Tomas Riccio | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Luke Harris | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.