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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.49vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54-0.18vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+1.28vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.63vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.52vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-0.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Hampton University1.4724.9%1st Place
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1.82Fordham University1.5449.2%1st Place
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4.28Princeton University-0.457.7%1st Place
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4.63Rutgers University-0.725.8%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.9%1st Place
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5.8Syracuse University-1.551.3%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.616.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 24.9% | 31.6% | 22.9% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 49.2% | 29.7% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 10.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 5.8% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 16.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.9% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 12.2% |
| Faith Otoole | 1.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 48.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.