← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.66+1.85vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.66vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.11vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.34vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-2.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California-0.60-1.83vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-1.89-0.19vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.22vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.79-2.40vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-1.79-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85University of California at Berkeley0.660.3%1st Place
-
3.66University of California at Berkeley0.200.2%1st Place
-
4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
-
6.34University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
3.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
-
5.17University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
-
6.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.6Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
7.55Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 29.3% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 16.3% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 13.1% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| George Soliman | 21.4% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 28.4% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 24.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.