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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.20+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.60+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.22vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.10vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-4.93vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.79-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.89-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at Berkeley0.200.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Berkeley0.660.3%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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6.22University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.49Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.55Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 17.7% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Will Cornell | 25.8% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 22.2% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Camden Wacha | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 22.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| Florence Duff | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erin Welker | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 24.3% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.