← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.20+3.47vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+1.78vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.66-0.41vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.79+3.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California-0.60+0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.04vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.23vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-1.79-0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-1.89-1.37vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
-
2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
-
3.59University of California at Berkeley0.660.2%1st Place
-
8.52Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.16University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
-
7.04University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
4.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
-
8.57Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
-
7.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| George Soliman | 16.6% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 25.9% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 18.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 24.8% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Florence Duff | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Erin Welker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 25.3% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 27.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.