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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.70vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.60-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.66-5.13vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.79-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.89-2.23vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.79-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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3.7University of California at Berkeley0.200.2%1st Place
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4.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.87University of California at Berkeley0.660.3%1st Place
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7.51Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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7.6Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 24.4% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 16.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 11.6% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Will Cornell | 25.4% | 23.9% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 23.9% |
| Luke Melvin | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 28.1% |
| Erin Welker | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.