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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.66+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.60+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.34vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.73vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-0.36vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.79-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.89-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Berkeley0.660.3%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.66University of California at Berkeley0.200.2%1st Place
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4.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego-1.130.1%1st Place
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7.64Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.54Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 23.1% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 26.6% | 22.0% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 15.3% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 13.3% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 24.5% |
| Erin Welker | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 23.1% | 22.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 12.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.