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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+3.38vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.79+6.03vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.60-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.89-0.72vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.79-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-2.18-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.03Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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2.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.3%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.2%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Berkeley0.200.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.5University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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7.92Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 17.3% |
| Garrett Henderson | 31.7% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 19.1% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Luke Melvin | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 22.3% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| Dante Drolet | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.