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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.96vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-2.16+4.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.60+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.29vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.61-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.19-2.14vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.52-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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1.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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2.85University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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8.06University of Southern California-2.160.0%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.71University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.8Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.4Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 17.4% | 23.8% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 48.1% | 27.7% | 14.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 19.2% | 25.9% | 26.3% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Tang | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Liam Williams | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 34.9% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.