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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.64+5.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.94vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.60+1.60vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64-4.31vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.61+0.50vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.19-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-3.36-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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2.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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1.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.28Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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8.5Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Southern California-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kalway | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 19.0% | 21.4% | 27.9% | 18.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 43.0% | 30.3% | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Carsten Zieger | 23.7% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 21.3% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 9.6% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.