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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+1.43vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54-0.20vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+1.53vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.45-0.77vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-0.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Hampton University1.4726.8%1st Place
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1.8Fordham University1.5450.0%1st Place
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4.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.675.4%1st Place
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4.7Rutgers University-0.724.4%1st Place
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4.23Princeton University-0.455.8%1st Place
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5.78Syracuse University-1.552.1%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 26.8% | 31.9% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 50.0% | 29.3% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 5.4% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 12.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.4% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 23.2% | 14.8% |
| Berkley Yiu | 5.8% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 9.2% |
| Faith Otoole | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 50.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.5% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.