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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.14vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.05vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.52-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-2.19-0.14vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.61-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.60-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-2.16-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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2.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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2.86University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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7.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.37Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.84Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Southern California-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 46.0% | 28.6% | 17.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 20.5% | 25.3% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 18.7% | 25.5% | 26.2% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Liam Williams | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.4% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 35.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Alex Tang | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.