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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.64+4.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-3.36+3.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-2.19+0.55vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-1.42vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.52-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.60-3.54vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.61-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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2.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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2.8University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Southern California-3.360.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.42Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.4Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 46.7% | 29.6% | 15.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 18.4% | 22.6% | 27.6% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 20.1% | 26.5% | 25.0% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 54.9% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.