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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.90vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-1.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.64+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.19+2.96vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.14vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.52-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.60-2.24vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.61-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-2.16-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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1.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.43Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.69Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Southern California-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsten Zieger | 19.7% | 24.8% | 27.7% | 16.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 20.2% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 45.3% | 30.1% | 15.9% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Liam Williams | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 33.5% |
| Alex Tang | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.