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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.72vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-1.52+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.80vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.60-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-3.36+0.67vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.61-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.19-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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6.47Arizona State University-1.520.0%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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6.58University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Southern California-3.360.0%1st Place
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8.39Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 45.8% | 30.5% | 16.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 21.3% | 28.1% | 23.9% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 18.8% | 21.6% | 28.0% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Liam Williams | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 56.8% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 25.0% | 18.5% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.1% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.