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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.05vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+3.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+2.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.60+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.64-0.21vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-2.16-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.19-2.03vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.61-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.5%1st Place
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2.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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2.95University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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7.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.31Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Southern California-2.160.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.75Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 45.5% | 27.8% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 20.0% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 18.0% | 23.9% | 26.2% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Liam Williams | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Tang | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.8% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.