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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.79vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-1.06vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.64+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.60-0.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.19-1.16vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.61-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-3.36-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Berkeley0.640.2%1st Place
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1.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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5.37Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.51Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Southern California-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 18.1% | 22.4% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 22.1% | 25.2% | 23.8% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 43.9% | 31.3% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Liam Williams | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 11.1% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 21.0% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.