← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.51vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.29vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+4.61vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+2.87vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-1.53+7.28vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+6.20vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+0.70vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.16+2.37vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-2.52+8.52vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-1.87+4.31vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+1.41vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.70vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+4.90vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.45vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-4.02+8.34vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.78vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-2.42+0.18vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.50vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-2.60-0.89vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-2.81-1.23vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12-10.46vs Predicted
-
22San Diego State University-2.04-6.73vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-9.97vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Berkeley-2.35-7.40vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.88vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.3%1st Place
-
4.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.1%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
12.28San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
12.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
7.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
-
10.37Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
17.52Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
-
14.31San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
-
13.7University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
-
17.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
12.55University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
23.34University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
-
12.22University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
17.18University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
-
13.5University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
18.11University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
18.77University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
-
15.27San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
13.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
-
16.6University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
-
20.12University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
-
19.08University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 25.2% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 19.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Catalina Brody | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| James Carney | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 50.9% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Nate Powers | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| James Makler | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Emilia McNabb | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dereck Phan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.