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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.52vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+5.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.70+10.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+2.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.52+6.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-2.35+9.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.60+9.82vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.53+3.38vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-5.80vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16-0.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.46+0.40vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-0.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.51vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.43vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-1.54vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52+0.68vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-4.92vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.81+0.12vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12-9.83vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-3.01vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-2.04-6.72vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.42-5.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-5.66vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.95vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-4.02-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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7.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.1%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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16.73University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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12.38San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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10.5Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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14.46San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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17.68Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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13.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.12University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
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17.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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15.28San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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17.05University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
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18.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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20.05University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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23.56University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Nate Powers | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 19.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Makler | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Emilia McNabb | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Catalina Brody | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Horn | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% |
| Sophia Pless | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 11.6% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.