← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.58vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.29vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+4.12vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+3.80vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-2.04+10.20vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+1.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-2.42+10.22vs Predicted
-
8San Diego State University-1.87+6.33vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.46+3.27vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+7.97vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.71+2.49vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12-1.25vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.22vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-2.35+3.13vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.32vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-1.53-3.25vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-4.31vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.16-7.29vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-6.69vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-2.52-2.45vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-7.56vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-2.81-2.79vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego-3.00-2.91vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Irvine-1.70-10.60vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-2.60-6.49vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-4.02-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
-
4.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
-
7.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
-
15.2San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.1%1st Place
-
17.22University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
-
14.33San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.27University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
17.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.75University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
-
15.22University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
-
17.13University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.68University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.75San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
12.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
-
10.71Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
17.55Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
-
13.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
-
19.21University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
-
20.09University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
-
13.4University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
-
18.51University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
23.68University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 24.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Parker Ziegler | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Catalina Brody | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emilia McNabb | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emre Gurdal | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Down | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 9.1% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| James Carney | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.