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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+4.94vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+9.22vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+2.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+4.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.20vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.52+7.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.60+7.06vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-2.04+3.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.70+0.69vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-1.64vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.16-4.31vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.53-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-2.35+0.08vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.87-3.49vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.42-1.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.81-1.01vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-5.68vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.52-9.35vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-4.99vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-3.00-4.09vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-4.02-1.44vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.71-11.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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13.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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17.85Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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18.06University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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15.68San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.69Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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12.77San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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17.08University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
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14.51San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
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18.99University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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15.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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18.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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19.91University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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23.56University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 19.3% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 21.8% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Parker Ziegler | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| James Makler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 7.9% |
| Emre Gurdal | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Catalina Brody | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% |
| James Carney | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 55.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.