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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.31vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+3.49vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.16+5.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.71+7.65vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-2.04+8.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.70+5.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.52+3.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55-2.75vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80+7.31vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.53+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-3.00+6.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.37vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-3.46vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-2.15vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.52+0.27vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-5.56vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-2.35-2.74vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-2.27vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00-6.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.42-5.47vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.60-5.51vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-6.52vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.81-6.22vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-4.02-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.3%1st Place
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3.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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9.89Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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12.65University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.71San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.56University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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18.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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12.15San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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19.46University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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11.63University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.85San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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17.27Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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12.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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16.26University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
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17.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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14.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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16.53University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
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17.49University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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17.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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18.78University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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23.36University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 25.5% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 18.5% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emilia McNabb | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Mira Shupe | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Nate Powers | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Pike Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| James Makler | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| James Carney | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.