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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.32vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+3.42vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.87+10.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+2.29vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+6.94vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80+12.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12+1.56vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.52+8.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-2.35+6.82vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.42+4.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.71-1.16vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64+3.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.81+3.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46-5.05vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-6.18vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-0.10vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.52-7.82vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-3.00-0.64vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.53-9.54vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00-7.94vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-2.04-8.62vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.60-6.79vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-7.03vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay-3.67-3.77vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-4.02-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.3%1st Place
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3.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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14.26San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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12.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.0%1st Place
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17.67Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Berkeley-2.350.0%1st Place
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10.17Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.65University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.19University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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18.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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18.9University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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20.36University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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12.46San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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15.38San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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18.21University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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18.97California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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23.23California State University Monterey Bay-3.670.0%1st Place
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24.33University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 25.7% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 19.3% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Emilia McNabb | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Down | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Pike Williams | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| James Makler | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mira Shupe | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nate Powers | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Annika Altman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| John Van Roekel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 26.0% |
| James Carney | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.